Added by losted
on February 15, 2015
http://www.americancasinoguide.com In this video, Michael Shackleford, who is also known as the “Wizard of Odds,” explains all about Ultimate Texas Hold’em. …
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Here’s the problem I see with the basic strategy. It doesn’t take into
account “pot odds”. Instead it goes by expected value. If positive bet
4X. However, if you win 51% of the time but lay 2:1 odds (4 X ante, which
is =blind, or 2:1), you will lose long term (besides the house edge). In
order to raise 4X you should only play hands >.67 probability of winning
against unknown cards. I used win percentages from caniwin.com. For hands
between .6 and .67, one should bet 3X, or 3:2 odds. This will maximize
wins while minimizing variances. AK can be beat by a pair of 2s, so why
lay 2:1 odds when only 64% chance of winning. If you play 3X you are
getting better than pot odds for winning that hand. In other words instead
of laying an extra 2.5% to the house edge, you reduce it by more than 4% on
this one hand. In other words by using this strategy, one could
theoretically shift house edge to player edge when playing hands from
.51-.667 expected value. Raise 4X for all pairs >8s; 3X for pocket 6s, 7s,
>A9s, >KQ. All other hands have less than .60 probability of winning, so
should not raise before flop. Heads up Pocket 4s win 56% so raising 2X
after flop creates positive pot odds that again erode some of the house
edge. One can even wait until after river to call. One loses value in
winning, but decreases variances of losses. True, for the most part, one
may win less, there will be less variance (for smaller bankrolls). The
value of a hand changes greatly after the flop. A flop of overs with
possible flush/straight draws (i.e. 7/8/10 flop while holding pocket
5s)loses value quickly and may even prevent a 2X bet on the flop.
For example, let’s use 44 (which has roughly a 6/11 chance of winning).
First the basic strategy: Over 11 hands, you will win 6 hands at 5 units
and lose 6 units 5 times, and break even with -30/+30. Now using my
strategy for the same; (assuming I only raise 2X with favorable flop), I
will lose 3 units 5 times and win 3 units 6 times. As long as I win and
dealer qualifies >3 times, I will come out ahead. I admit, I know I think
more as I am a poker player and know the probability of wining various
hands. For those plying for fun, my play may not be for them.
I have a question.. can you get up and leave at anytime when you play hold
em at a casino?
3:40 Now that you’re confused by this game because we went so fast, we’re
gonna flip the image to further disorient you.
Are you able to give me another example of outs when it comes to this game?
I am sorry to day but the example the wizard gives is still confusing me?
For each rank on the board there are three more that can beat you. For
example, if the dealer has the jack of hearts, diamonds, or spades he will
pair up and beat you. So, 5×3=15 cards will give the dealer a hidden pair.
Also, all four queens and aces will beat you. So, 15+8=23 cards will beat
you. You need to have less than 21 outs to stay in, so fold.
Michael says - Ante & Play has the lower element of risk and is thus the
4 card poker, you get dealt 5 cards, dealer gets dealt 6, best poker hand
My question from Michael is that does he recommend to make the pair plus
Wow, been playing this game for awhile and never knew about the Ante Bonus
@americancasinouide I noticed the 6 card bonus button on the table but
Michael's answer to your question is - "The answer is on my web site. It
Sorry Caesars casinos, keep forgetting they re-branded (d'oh). Thanks much
thats at the creek casio lol
Man! Such a high house advantage. How can this game attracts the good card
Great tutorial. May try it out now that I know how it works. Thx!
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